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Brisbane

vs.

Richmond

AFL

AFL Finals Week 1

Friday, October 2nd, 2020
7:50 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
Venue: The Gabba (Brisbane, QLD)

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the AFL Finals Week 1 clash between Brisbane and Richmond. You can view other fixtures for this round in the AFL match centre.

 

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Round Preview

A preview with betting tips for the AFL Finals Week 1 has been published on our sister site, AusSportsBetting.com.

Form Guide

The interactive AFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter the form guide by strength of opponent.

Betting Value Index

The AFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. The data can be filtered by date.

Home Advantage

The AFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's winning records at home versus away. League averages and medians are also provided. The data can be filtered by date.

Line Betting Table

The AFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

Predictability Index

The AFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

Stadium Analysis

The AFL stadium analysis provides win records, head-to-head betting value, line records, over/under records, average total scores and win percentages for each team at each stadium.

Elo Ratings

The AFL Elo ratings tool enables you to calculate the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

 

Bookmaker Odds

View a full comparison of bookmaker odds for the AFL Finals Week 1

 
MarketSelectionOpenMinMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
Brisbane
Richmond
2.30
1.62
2.02
1.60
2.35
1.80
2.10
1.77
Line Brisbane
Richmond
(+6.5)  1.91
(-6.5)  1.91
(+2.5)  1.91
(-7.5)  1.91
(+7.5)  1.91
(-2.5)  1.91
(+2.5)  1.91
(-2.5)  1.91
Total
Score
Over
Under
(118.5)  1.91
(118.5)  1.91
(117.5)  1.91
(117.5)  1.82
(118.5)  1.91
(118.5)  1.91
(117.5)  1.91
(117.5)  1.91
 
MarketSelectionOpenMinMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
Brisbane
Richmond
2.20
1.65
1.14
1.48
2.60
5.50
1.14
5.50
Line Brisbane
Richmond
(+5.5)  1.90
(-5.5)  1.90
(-16.5)  1.88
(-10.5)  1.92
(+10.5)  1.88
(+16.5)  1.92
(-16.5)  1.88
(+16.5)  1.92
Total
Score
Over
Under
(118.5)  1.88
(118.5)  1.88
(117.5)  1.88
(117.5)  1.88
(143.5)  1.90
(143.5)  1.82
(135.5)  1.82
(135.5)  1.90
 

Bookmaker Promotions

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Member Tipping

All Tippers My Favourite Tippers Brisbane
Supporters
Richmond
Supporters
Market Selection Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units
H2H Brisbane
Richmond
15
21
41.7%
58.3%
150
210
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
Line Brisbane (+7.5)
Richmond (-7.5)
13
6
68.4%
31.6%
130
60
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
Total
Score
Over 117.5
Under 117.5
5
5
50.0%
50.0%
50
50
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0

The % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped.
Submit / edit your tips for this fixture

Form Guides

Form Guide: Brisbane

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2020-09-19Brisbane
Carlton
Win11.12 (78)
10.1 (61)
2020-09-13Sydney
Brisbane
Win6.5 (41)
11.7 (73)
2020-09-09Brisbane
Gold Coast
Win13.10 (88)
6.7 (43)
2020-09-04Brisbane
Collingwood
Win6.6 (42)
5.4 (34)
2020-08-23Brisbane
St Kilda
Win6.14 (50)
7.6 (48)
2020-08-15North Melbourne
Brisbane
Win8.4 (52)
7.11 (53)
2020-08-08Brisbane
Western Bulldogs
Win14.12 (96)
11.6 (72)
2020-08-04Richmond
Brisbane
Loss12.10 (82)
4.17 (41)
2020-07-31Essendon
Brisbane
Win3.10 (28)
14.7 (91)
2020-07-26Melbourne
Brisbane
Win7.7 (49)
7.11 (53)
2020-07-18GWS
Brisbane
Win10.8 (68)
13.10 (88)
2020-07-09Geelong
Brisbane
Loss11.7 (73)
6.10 (46)

Form Guide: Richmond

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2020-09-19Adelaide
Richmond
Win4.9 (33)
12.5 (77)
2020-09-11Geelong
Richmond
Win4.7 (31)
7.15 (57)
2020-09-02Richmond
Fremantle
Win8.8 (56)
4.5 (29)
2020-08-27Richmond
West Coast
Win14.4 (88)
9.7 (61)
2020-08-22Essendon
Richmond
Win10.1 (61)
10.13 (73)
2020-08-17Richmond
Gold Coast
Win8.5 (53)
4.8 (32)
2020-08-08Port Adelaide
Richmond
Loss13.15 (93)
11.6 (72)
2020-08-04Richmond
Brisbane
Win12.10 (82)
4.17 (41)
2020-07-29Western Bulldogs
Richmond
Win7.7 (49)
13.12 (90)
2020-07-24GWS
Richmond
Loss9.8 (62)
6.14 (50)
2020-07-18Richmond
North Melbourne
Win11.11 (77)
2.11 (23)
2020-07-12Richmond
Sydney
Win4.10 (34)
3.8 (26)

H2H Guide: Brisbane vs. Richmond

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2020-08-04Richmond
Brisbane
12.10 (82)
4.17 (41)
2019-09-07Brisbane
Richmond
8.17 (65)
18.4 (112)
2019-08-25Richmond
Brisbane
12.10 (82)
8.7 (55)
2018-04-14Richmond
Brisbane
16.14 (110)
2.5 (17)
2017-07-16Richmond
Brisbane
16.16 (112)
12.9 (81)
2017-04-16Brisbane
Richmond
10.7 (67)
17.17 (119)
2016-06-25Richmond
Brisbane
17.15 (117)
11.9 (75)
2015-04-18Brisbane
Richmond
8.10 (58)
21.11 (137)
2014-07-05Richmond
Brisbane
12.7 (79)
7.12 (54)
2014-04-17Brisbane
Richmond
9.9 (63)
15.16 (106)
2013-08-10Richmond
Brisbane
14.13 (97)
11.8 (74)
2012-08-04Brisbane
Richmond
12.12 (84)
20.12 (132)

Note: only league games are included. The above does not include preseason and cup fixtures.

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
BrisbaneH2H$1.64$1.81$2.09
Line$-2.18$-2.43$-2.70
RichmondH2H$2.66$4.34$2.48
Line$-0.27$1.37$1.12

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game. Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from the dates provided in the Notes section below the Performance Guide.

 

Performance Guides

Performance Guide: Brisbane

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Richmond
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak9 wins7 wins7 losses15 losses
Record9-0-014-0-30-0-70-0-15
Value$3.91$3.09$-7.00$-15.00
Record as Fav8-0-012-0-20-0-10-0-2
Value as Fav$2.94$2.17$-1.00$-2.00
Record as Dog1-0-02-0-10-0-60-0-13
Value as Dog$0.97$0.92$-6.00$-13.00
Line
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak1 loss1 loss4 losses4 losses
Record5-0-48-0-90-0-44-0-7
Value$0.55$-1.70$-4.00$-3.11
Record as Fav4-0-46-0-80-0-00-0-1
Value as Fav$-0.36$-2.52$0.00$-1.00
Record as Dog1-0-02-0-10-0-44-0-6
Value as Dog$0.91$0.82$-4.00$-2.11
Winning Margin
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins81200
40+ wins1200
1-39 losses0227
40+ losses0158
1-24 win5800
25+ win4600
1-24 loss0012
25+ loss03613
Total Score
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak2 overs3 overs1 over1 under
O/U Record5-0-48-0-92-0-23-0-7
Overs Value$0.55$-1.72$-0.23$-4.30
Unders Value$-1.36$0.19$-0.16$3.06

Performance Guide: Richmond

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Brisbane
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak3 wins6 wins7 wins15 wins
Record5-1-312-1-47-0-015-0-0
Value$0.24$2.86$4.88$7.23
Record as Fav3-1-19-1-26-0-013-0-0
Value as Fav$-0.28$1.34$3.06$4.41
Record as Dog2-0-23-0-21-0-02-0-0
Value as Dog$0.52$1.52$1.82$2.82
Line
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak2 wins2 wins4 wins4 wins
Record4-0-59-0-84-0-07-0-4
Value$-1.36$0.19$3.62$2.66
Record as Fav2-0-36-0-64-0-06-0-4
Value as Fav$-1.18$-0.54$3.62$1.75
Record as Dog2-0-23-0-20-0-01-0-0
Value as Dog$-0.18$0.73$0.00$0.91
Winning Margin
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins3827
40+ wins2458
1-39 losses3400
40+ losses0000
1-24 win1412
25+ win48613
1-24 loss2200
25+ loss1200
Total Score
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak2 unders3 unders1 over1 under
O/U Record5-0-47-0-102-0-23-0-7
Overs Value$0.55$-3.63$-0.23$-4.30
Unders Value$-1.36$2.10$-0.16$3.06

Further Analysis

Further Analysis: Brisbane

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record11-0-23-0-1
H2H Betting Value$2.38$0.71
Line Record6-0-72-0-2
Line Betting Value$-1.52$-0.18
Over/Under Record4-0-94-0-0
Overs Betting Value$-5.36$3.64
Unders Betting Value$4.19$-4.00

Further Analysis: Richmond

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record9-1-23-0-1
H2H Betting Value$2.86$1.00
Line Record7-0-52-0-2
Line Betting Value$1.37$-0.18
Over/Under Record4-0-83-0-1
Overs Betting Value$-4.36$1.73
Unders Betting Value$3.28$-2.09

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to March, 2020. The line records date back to March, 2020. The O/U records date back to March, 2020.
3. The H2H records between Brisbane and Richmond date back to June, 2009. The line records between the two opponents date back to March, 2013. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to March, 2014.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

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