You are here: Home > AFL > Round 18 > Essendon vs. Melbourne

Essendon

vs.

Melbourne

AFL

AFL Round 18

Saturday, September 19th, 2020
2:10 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
Venue: Metricon Stadium (Gold Coast, QLD)

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the AFL Round 18 clash between Essendon and Melbourne. You can view other fixtures for this round in the AFL match centre.

 

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Round Preview

A preview with betting tips for AFL Round 18 has been published on our sister site, AusSportsBetting.com.

Form Guide

The interactive AFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter the form guide by strength of opponent.

Betting Value Index

The AFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. The data can be filtered by date.

Home Advantage

The AFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's winning records at home versus away. League averages and medians are also provided. The data can be filtered by date.

Line Betting Table

The AFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

Predictability Index

The AFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

Stadium Analysis

The AFL stadium analysis provides win records, head-to-head betting value, line records, over/under records, average total scores and win percentages for each team at each stadium.

Elo Ratings

The AFL Elo ratings tool enables you to calculate the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

 

Bookmaker Odds

View a full comparison of bookmaker odds for AFL Round 18

 
MarketSelectionOpenMinMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
Essendon
Melbourne
2.70
1.47
2.65
1.47
2.80
1.50
2.68
1.50
Line Essendon
Melbourne
(+12.5)  1.91
(-12.5)  1.91
(+11.5)  1.91
(-13.5)  1.91
(+13.5)  1.91
(-11.5)  1.91
(+11.5)  1.91
(-11.5)  1.91
Total
Score
Over
Under
(123.5)  1.91
(123.5)  1.91
(122.5)  1.91
(122.5)  1.91
(128.5)  1.91
(128.5)  1.91
(128.5)  1.91
(128.5)  1.91
 
MarketSelectionOpenMinMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
Essendon
Melbourne
2.62
1.48
2.50
1.00
251.00
1.54
251.00
1.00
Line Essendon
Melbourne
(+11.5)  1.90
(-11.5)  1.90
(+11.5)  1.90
(-36.5)  1.88
(+36.5)  1.92
(-11.5)  1.90
(+26.5)  1.90
(-26.5)  1.90
Total
Score
Over
Under
(120.5)  1.88
(120.5)  1.88
(100.5)  1.90
(100.5)  1.82
(128.5)  1.88
(128.5)  1.88
(100.5)  1.90
(100.5)  1.82
 

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Member Tipping

All Tippers My Favourite Tippers Essendon
Supporters
Melbourne
Supporters
Market Selection Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units
H2H Essendon
Melbourne
10
17
37.0%
63.0%
100
170
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
Line Essendon (+12.5)
Melbourne (-12.5)
8
8
50.0%
50.0%
80
80
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
Total
Score
Over 123.5
Under 123.5
4
8
33.3%
66.7%
40
80
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0

The % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped.
Submit / edit your tips for this fixture

Form Guides

Form Guide: Essendon

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2020-09-12Port Adelaide
Essendon
Loss11.13 (79)
4.5 (29)
2020-09-06Geelong
Essendon
Loss17.6 (108)
5.12 (42)
2020-09-01West Coast
Essendon
Loss9.6 (60)
6.9 (45)
2020-08-27Hawthorn
Essendon
Win10.11 (71)
13.9 (87)
2020-08-22Essendon
Richmond
Loss10.1 (61)
10.13 (73)
2020-08-16St Kilda
Essendon
Loss10.8 (68)
5.3 (33)
2020-08-12Gold Coast
Essendon
Draw11.7 (73)
11.7 (73)
2020-08-07Essendon
GWS
Loss8.7 (55)
8.11 (59)
2020-07-31Essendon
Brisbane
Loss3.10 (28)
14.7 (91)
2020-07-26Adelaide
Essendon
Win8.11 (59)
9.8 (62)
2020-07-17Essendon
Western Bulldogs
Loss7.9 (51)
14.9 (93)
2020-07-11Essendon
North Melbourne
Win9.13 (67)
7.11 (53)

Form Guide: Melbourne

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2020-09-12GWS
Melbourne
Win11.8 (74)
12.7 (79)
2020-09-07Melbourne
Fremantle
Loss4.9 (33)
6.11 (47)
2020-09-03Sydney
Melbourne
Loss10.7 (67)
6.10 (46)
2020-08-29Melbourne
St Kilda
Win8.4 (52)
7.7 (49)
2020-08-22Western Bulldogs
Melbourne
Loss12.8 (80)
7.10 (52)
2020-08-15Melbourne
Collingwood
Win16.4 (100)
6.8 (44)
2020-08-09Melbourne
North Melbourne
Win13.14 (92)
5.5 (35)
2020-08-05Adelaide
Melbourne
Win5.7 (37)
13.10 (88)
2020-08-05Adelaide
Melbourne
Win5.7 (37)
13.10 (88)
2020-07-30Melbourne
Port Adelaide
Loss4.8 (32)
12.11 (83)
2020-07-26Melbourne
Brisbane
Loss7.7 (49)
7.11 (53)
2020-07-19Hawthorn
Melbourne
Win7.6 (48)
14.7 (91)

H2H Guide: Essendon vs. Melbourne

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2019-04-05Melbourne
Essendon
18.4 (112)
20.10 (130)
2018-04-29Essendon
Melbourne
10.12 (72)
16.12 (108)
2017-04-30Essendon
Melbourne
10.14 (74)
17.10 (112)
2016-04-02Essendon
Melbourne
11.14 (80)
10.7 (67)
2015-07-11Essendon
Melbourne
10.9 (69)
7.18 (60)
2014-06-15Essendon
Melbourne
10.17 (77)
12.6 (78)
2013-04-06Essendon
Melbourne
28.16 (184)
5.6 (36)
2012-06-02Essendon
Melbourne
6.16 (52)
8.10 (58)
2011-06-03Essendon
Melbourne
10.8 (68)
15.11 (101)
2010-07-11Melbourne
Essendon
19.8 (122)
14.19 (103)

Note: only league games are included. The above does not include preseason and cup fixtures.

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
EssendonH2H$-4.10$-6.95$-5.97
Line$-2.14$-2.41$-2.68
MelbourneH2H$0.50$1.00$-1.75
Line$-0.33$3.22$2.95

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game. Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from the dates provided in the Notes section below the Performance Guide.

 

Performance Guides

Performance Guide: Essendon

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Melbourne
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak4 losses3 losses2 losses1 win
Record2-0-56-1-93-0-54-0-6
Value$-3.99$-2.85$2.11$2.91
Record as Fav2-0-14-0-11-0-31-0-4
Value as Fav$0.01$1.43$-2.92$-3.92
Record as Dog0-0-42-1-82-0-23-0-2
Value as Dog$-4.00$-4.28$5.03$6.83
Line
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak2 wins3 losses2 losses1 win
Record3-0-47-0-93-0-34-0-3
Value$-1.27$-2.59$-0.21$0.71
Record as Fav1-0-22-0-31-0-11-0-1
Value as Fav$-1.09$-1.14$-0.08$-0.08
Record as Dog2-0-25-0-62-0-23-0-2
Value as Dog$-0.18$-1.45$-0.13$0.78
Winning Margin
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins2623
40+ wins0011
1-39 losses3556
40+ losses2400
1-24 win2623
25+ win0011
1-24 loss3423
25+ loss2533
Total Score
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak2 overs1 under5 unders1 over
O/U Record4-0-38-0-80-0-51-0-5
Overs Value$0.64$-0.72$-5.00$-4.09
Unders Value$-1.27$-0.72$4.70$3.70

Performance Guide: Melbourne

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Essendon
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 win1 win2 wins1 loss
Record5-0-39-0-85-0-36-0-4
Value$0.45$-0.75$13.24$13.13
Record as Fav3-0-15-0-22-0-22-0-3
Value as Fav$0.25$0.70$-0.46$-1.46
Record as Dog2-0-24-0-63-0-14-0-1
Value as Dog$0.20$-1.45$13.70$14.59
Line
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 win1 win2 wins1 loss
Record4-0-410-0-73-0-33-0-4
Value$-0.36$2.04$-0.36$-1.36
Record as Fav2-0-24-0-32-0-22-0-3
Value as Fav$-0.18$0.64$-0.20$-1.20
Record as Dog2-0-26-0-41-0-11-0-1
Value as Dog$-0.18$1.40$-0.17$-0.17
Winning Margin
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins2456
40+ wins3500
1-39 losses3723
40+ losses0111
1-24 win2423
25+ win3533
1-24 loss1423
25+ loss2411
Total Score
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak1 over1 over5 unders1 over
O/U Record5-0-39-0-80-0-51-0-5
Overs Value$1.55$0.19$-5.00$-4.09
Unders Value$-2.27$-1.72$4.70$3.70

Further Analysis

Further Analysis: Essendon

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record2-0-44-1-4
H2H Betting Value$-2.27$0.43
Line Record2-0-45-0-4
Line Betting Value$-2.18$0.59
Over/Under Record3-0-35-0-4
Overs Betting Value$-0.27$0.55
Unders Betting Value$-0.27$-1.36

Further Analysis: Melbourne

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record4-0-45-0-4
H2H Betting Value$-0.40$-0.35
Line Record6-0-24-0-5
Line Betting Value$3.46$-1.42
Over/Under Record5-0-34-0-5
Overs Betting Value$1.55$-1.36
Unders Betting Value$-2.27$0.55

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to March, 2020. The line records date back to March, 2020. The O/U records date back to March, 2020.
3. The H2H records between Essendon and Melbourne date back to June, 2009. The line records between the two opponents date back to March, 2013. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to March, 2014.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

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