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Hawthorn

vs.

Melbourne

AFL

AFL Semi Finals

Friday, September 14th, 2018
7:50 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne, VIC)

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the AFL Semi Finals clash between Hawthorn and Melbourne. You can view other fixtures for this round in the AFL match centre.

 

Round Preview

A preview with betting tips for the AFL Semi Finals has been published on our sister site, AusSportsBetting.com.

Form Guide

The interactive AFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter the form guide by strength of opponent.

Betting Value Index

The AFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. The data can be filtered by date.

Home Advantage

The AFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's winning records at home versus away. League averages and medians are also provided. The data can be filtered by date.

Line Betting Table

The AFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

Predictability Index

The AFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

Stadium Analysis

The AFL stadium analysis provides win records, head-to-head betting value, line records, over/under records, average total scores and win percentages for each team at each stadium.

Elo Ratings

The AFL Elo ratings tool enables you to calculate the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

 

Bookmaker Odds

View a full comparison of bookmaker odds for the AFL Semi Finals

 
MarketSelectionOpenMinMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
Hawthorn
Melbourne
2.70
1.47
2.65
1.40
3.10
1.50
3.00
1.42
Line Hawthorn
Melbourne
(+13.5)  1.90
(-13.5)  1.90
(+13.5)  1.90
(-17.5)  1.90
(+17.5)  1.95
(-13.5)  1.93
(+17.5)  1.95
(-17.5)  1.95
Total
Score
Over
Under
(165.5)  1.90
(165.5)  1.90
(165.5)  1.90
(165.5)  1.90
(165.5)  1.90
(165.5)  1.90
(165.5)  1.90
(165.5)  1.90
 
MarketSelectionOpenMinMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
Hawthorn
Melbourne
2.75
1.45
2.65
1.07
9.00
1.48
5.60
1.15
Line Hawthorn
Melbourne
(+13.5)  1.90
(-13.5)  1.90
(+13.5)  1.90
(-32.5)  1.88
(+32.5)  1.88
(-13.5)  1.92
(+15.5)  1.88
(-15.5)  1.88
Total
Score
Over
Under
(164.5)  1.90
(164.5)  1.90
(143.5)  1.88
(143.5)  1.88
(167.5)  1.88
(167.5)  1.88
(166.5)  1.88
(166.5)  1.88
 

Bookmaker Promotions

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Member Tipping

All Tippers My Favourite Tippers Hawthorn
Supporters
Melbourne
Supporters
Market Selection Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units
H2H Hawthorn
Melbourne
19
18
51.4%
48.6%
190
180
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
Line Hawthorn (+13.5)
Melbourne (-13.5)
7
10
41.2%
58.8%
70
100
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
Total
Score
Over 165.5
Under 165.5
3
4
42.9%
57.1%
30
40
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0

The % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped.
Submit / edit your tips for this fixture

Form Guides

Form Guide: Hawthorn

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2018-09-06Richmond
Hawthorn
Loss13.17 (95)
9.10 (64)
2018-08-25Sydney
Hawthorn
Win10.14 (74)
12.11 (83)
2018-08-18St Kilda
Hawthorn
Win11.10 (76)
12.8 (80)
2018-08-11Hawthorn
Geelong
Win10.11 (71)
8.12 (60)
2018-08-04Hawthorn
Essendon
Win16.11 (107)
16.7 (103)
2018-07-29Fremantle
Hawthorn
Win7.11 (53)
17.10 (112)
2018-07-22Carlton
Hawthorn
Win7.10 (52)
18.16 (124)
2018-07-14Hawthorn
Brisbane
Loss9.11 (65)
15.8 (98)
2018-07-07Western Bulldogs
Hawthorn
Win9.5 (59)
19.8 (122)
2018-06-30GWS
Hawthorn
Loss13.17 (95)
13.6 (84)
2018-06-23Hawthorn
Gold Coast
Win13.18 (96)
5.13 (43)
2018-06-16Hawthorn
Adelaide
Win12.16 (88)
4.8 (32)

Form Guide: Melbourne

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2018-09-07Melbourne
Geelong
Win10.15 (75)
6.10 (46)
2018-08-26Melbourne
GWS
Win15.12 (102)
8.9 (57)
2018-08-19West Coast
Melbourne
Win14.7 (91)
16.12 (108)
2018-08-12Melbourne
Sydney
Loss10.18 (78)
13.9 (87)
2018-08-05Melbourne
Gold Coast
Win21.17 (143)
7.5 (47)
2018-07-28Adelaide
Melbourne
Win10.17 (77)
13.12 (90)
2018-07-21Geelong
Melbourne
Loss16.4 (100)
14.14 (98)
2018-07-14Melbourne
Western Bulldogs
Win18.11 (119)
10.9 (69)
2018-07-07Melbourne
Fremantle
Win13.24 (102)
7.6 (48)
2018-07-01Melbourne
St Kilda
Loss18.9 (117)
18.11 (119)
2018-06-22Port Adelaide
Melbourne
Loss11.9 (75)
9.11 (65)
2018-06-11Melbourne
Collingwood
Loss14.7 (91)
20.13 (133)

H2H Guide: Hawthorn vs. Melbourne

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2018-04-15Hawthorn
Melbourne
18.7 (115)
6.12 (48)
2017-05-07Melbourne
Hawthorn
14.7 (91)
14.10 (94)
2016-08-06Melbourne
Hawthorn
17.8 (110)
11.15 (81)
2016-06-04Hawthorn
Melbourne
11.16 (82)
10.4 (64)
2015-05-16Hawthorn
Melbourne
24.11 (155)
7.8 (50)
2014-08-09Hawthorn
Melbourne
17.13 (115)
9.11 (65)
2013-06-02Melbourne
Hawthorn
6.12 (48)
21.17 (143)
2012-05-11Melbourne
Hawthorn
6.13 (49)
15.25 (115)
2011-07-24Melbourne
Hawthorn
12.6 (78)
20.12 (132)
2011-04-03Hawthorn
Melbourne
16.26 (122)
12.5 (77)
2010-08-15Hawthorn
Melbourne
15.9 (99)
12.6 (78)
2010-03-27Melbourne
Hawthorn
8.13 (61)
17.15 (117)

Note: only league games are included. The above does not include preseason and cup fixtures.

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
HawthornH2H$2.83$1.92$0.93
Line$1.69$3.41$3.27
MelbourneH2H$2.79$-1.03$1.39
Line$3.69$3.59$9.07

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game. Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from the dates provided in the Notes section below the Performance Guide.

 

Performance Guides

Performance Guide: Hawthorn

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Melbourne
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak2 wins1 loss6 wins2 wins
Record8-0-315-0-86-0-011-0-1
Value$3.55$2.04$2.62$3.90
Record as Fav4-0-210-0-45-0-09-0-1
Value as Fav$-0.21$0.12$1.44$0.89
Record as Dog4-0-15-0-41-0-02-0-0
Value as Dog$3.76$1.92$1.18$3.01
Line
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak2 wins1 loss1 win2 wins
Record7-0-414-0-92-0-24-0-3
Value$2.58$4.05$-0.09$0.72
Record as Fav3-0-38-0-61-0-22-0-3
Value as Fav$-0.20$1.43$-1.08$-1.21
Record as Dog4-0-16-0-31-0-02-0-0
Value as Dog$2.78$2.62$0.99$1.92
Winning Margin
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins5923
40+ wins3648
1-39 losses3701
40+ losses0100
1-24 win3723
25+ win5848
1-24 loss2400
25+ loss1401

Performance Guide: Melbourne

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Hawthorn
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak2 wins3 wins6 losses2 losses
Record8-0-315-0-80-0-61-0-11
Value$1.45$-0.91$-6.00$-7.38
Record as Fav6-0-113-0-50-0-10-0-2
Value as Fav$1.07$-0.29$-1.00$-2.00
Record as Dog2-0-22-0-30-0-51-0-9
Value as Dog$0.38$-0.62$-5.00$-5.38
Line
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak3 wins3 wins1 loss2 losses
Record9-0-216-0-72-0-23-0-4
Value$6.29$7.86$-0.06$-1.16
Record as Fav6-0-113-0-50-0-10-0-2
Value as Fav$4.49$7.06$-1.00$-2.00
Record as Dog3-0-13-0-22-0-13-0-2
Value as Dog$1.80$0.80$0.94$0.84
Winning Margin
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins5701
40+ wins3800
1-39 losses2523
40+ losses1348
1-24 win2200
25+ win61301
1-24 loss2523
25+ loss1348

Further Analysis

Further Analysis: Hawthorn

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record10-0-65-0-2
H2H Betting Value$0.77$1.27
Line Record9-0-75-0-2
Line Betting Value$1.37$2.69

Further Analysis: Melbourne

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record10-0-45-0-4
H2H Betting Value$-0.43$-0.48
Line Record11-0-35-0-4
Line Betting Value$7.27$0.59

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to March, 2018. The line records date back to March, 2018.
3. The H2H records between Hawthorn and Melbourne date back to September, 2018. The line records date back to September, 2018.3. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 1 above.

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