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Adelaide

vs.

Geelong

AFL

AFL Round 17

Thursday, July 12th, 2018
7:50 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
Venue: Adelaide Oval (Adelaide, SA)

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the AFL Round 17 clash between Adelaide and Geelong. You can view other fixtures for this round in the AFL match centre.

 

Round Preview

A preview with betting tips for AFL Round 17 has been published on our sister site, AusSportsBetting.com.

Form Guide

The interactive AFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter the form guide by strength of opponent.

Betting Value Index

The AFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. The data can be filtered by date.

Home Advantage

The AFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's winning records at home versus away. League averages and medians are also provided. The data can be filtered by date.

Line Betting Table

The AFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

Predictability Index

The AFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

Stadium Analysis

The AFL stadium analysis provides win records, head-to-head betting value, line records, over/under records, average total scores and win percentages for each team at each stadium.

Elo Ratings

The AFL Elo ratings tool enables you to calculate the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

 

Bookmaker Odds

View a full comparison of bookmaker odds for AFL Round 17

 
MarketSelection OpenMaxCurrent OpenMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
Adelaide
Geelong
1.96
1.86
1.99
1.99
1.99
1.83
1.75
2.10
2.02
2.18
2.02
1.83
Line Adelaide
Geelong
(+2.5)  1.91
(-2.5)  1.91
(+2.5)  1.91
(+2.5)  1.92
(+2.5)  1.88
(-2.5)  1.93
(-4.5)  1.90
(+4.5)  1.90
(+2.5)  1.93
(+6.5)  1.90
(+2.5)  1.93
(-2.5)  1.93
Total
Score
Over
Under
(157.5)  1.91
(157.5)  1.91
(157.5)  1.91
(157.5)  2.04
(157.5)  1.79
(157.5)  2.04
(160.5)  1.90
(160.5)  1.90
(160.5)  1.90
(160.5)  1.90
(158.5)  1.87
(158.5)  1.95
 
MarketSelection OpenMaxCurrent OpenMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
Adelaide
Geelong
1.68
2.17
2.04
2.17
2.04
1.82
1.68
2.18
2.05
16.00
1.10
7.00
Line Adelaide
Geelong
(-6.5)  1.88
(+6.5)  1.88
(+2.5)  1.91
(+6.5)  1.88
(+2.5)  1.91
(-2.5)  1.91
(-6.5)  1.90
(+6.5)  1.90
(+2.5)  1.92
(+29.5)  1.88
(-20.5)  1.88
(+20.5)  1.88
Total
Score
Over
Under
(158.5)  1.88
(158.5)  1.88
(158.5)  1.90
(158.5)  1.95
(158.5)  1.85
(158.5)  1.95
(159.5)  1.90
(159.5)  1.90
(204.5)  1.88
(204.5)  1.88
(204.5)  1.88
(204.5)  1.88
 

Bookmaker Promotions

View all active bookmaker promotions (excludes NSW)

 

Member Tipping

All Tippers My Favourite Tippers Adelaide
Supporters
Geelong
Supporters
Market Selection Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units
H2H Adelaide
Geelong
10
16
38.5%
61.5%
100
160
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
Line Adelaide (-2.5)
Geelong (+2.5)
6
12
33.3%
66.7%
60
120
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
Total
Score
Over 158.5
Under 158.5
5
8
38.5%
61.5%
50
80
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0

The % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped.
Submit / edit your tips for this fixture

Form Guides

Form Guide: Adelaide

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2018-07-06Richmond
Adelaide
Loss15.13 (103)
8.8 (56)
2018-06-30Adelaide
West Coast
Win12.16 (88)
12.6 (78)
2018-06-16Hawthorn
Adelaide
Loss12.16 (88)
4.8 (32)
2018-06-10Fremantle
Adelaide
Loss10.11 (71)
9.14 (68)
2018-06-03Adelaide
GWS
Loss11.15 (81)
14.13 (97)
2018-05-27Melbourne
Adelaide
Loss23.8 (146)
8.7 (55)
2018-05-18Adelaide
Western Bulldogs
Win9.9 (63)
2.14 (26)
2018-05-12Port Adelaide
Adelaide
Loss14.11 (95)
14.6 (90)
2018-05-05Adelaide
Carlton
Win19.11 (125)
10.10 (70)
2018-04-28Adelaide
Gold Coast
Win16.14 (110)
9.8 (62)
2018-04-20Sydney
Adelaide
Win10.15 (75)
12.13 (85)
2018-04-13Adelaide
Collingwood
Loss9.4 (58)
16.10 (106)

Form Guide: Geelong

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2018-07-05Sydney
Geelong
Win9.5 (59)
8.23 (71)
2018-06-29Western Bulldogs
Geelong
Loss16.7 (103)
15.11 (101)
2018-06-17Geelong
Richmond
Loss9.11 (65)
12.11 (83)
2018-06-09Geelong
North Melbourne
Win14.12 (96)
8.11 (59)
2018-06-02Gold Coast
Geelong
Win4.12 (36)
17.19 (121)
2018-05-26Geelong
Carlton
Win11.7 (73)
5.15 (45)
2018-05-19Essendon
Geelong
Loss12.12 (84)
7.8 (50)
2018-05-13Collingwood
Geelong
Win5.15 (45)
9.12 (66)
2018-05-04Geelong
GWS
Win14.9 (93)
4.8 (32)
2018-04-28Geelong
Sydney
Loss10.9 (69)
12.14 (86)
2018-04-21Port Adelaide
Geelong
Win7.8 (50)
12.12 (84)
2018-04-15Geelong
St Kilda
Win15.13 (103)
7.14 (56)

H2H Guide: Adelaide vs. Geelong

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2017-09-22Adelaide
Geelong
21.10 (136)
10.15 (75)
2017-07-21Adelaide
Geelong
13.13 (91)
10.10 (70)
2017-06-02Geelong
Adelaide
13.18 (96)
10.14 (74)
2016-07-23Geelong
Adelaide
12.13 (85)
7.13 (55)
2016-05-13Adelaide
Geelong
11.6 (72)
13.20 (98)
2015-09-05Geelong
Adelaide
17.17 (119)
11.14 (80)
2014-03-20Geelong
Adelaide
18.11 (119)
12.9 (81)
2013-07-21Adelaide
Geelong
14.10 (94)
14.8 (92)
2012-07-28Geelong
Adelaide
15.12 (102)
11.9 (75)
2012-05-12Adelaide
Geelong
19.8 (122)
10.12 (72)
2011-08-14Adelaide
Geelong
12.13 (85)
14.12 (96)
2011-06-26Geelong
Adelaide
19.11 (125)
10.13 (73)

Note: only league games are included. The above does not include preseason and cup fixtures.

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
AdelaideH2H$-4.55$-2.98$-2.84
Line$-6.00$-4.43$-2.72
GeelongH2H$-0.03$1.03$0.43
Line$-0.12$1.63$-0.42

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game. Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from the dates provided in the Notes section below the Performance Guide.

 

Performance Guides

Performance Guide: Adelaide

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Geelong
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak1 win1 loss2 wins2 wins
Record9-0-413-1-115-0-25-0-9
Value$-0.20$-3.34$5.88$-1.12
Record as Fav9-0-412-1-62-0-12-0-4
Value as Fav$-0.20$-1.46$-0.02$-3.02
Record as Dog0-0-01-0-53-0-13-0-5
Value as Dog$0.00$-1.88$5.90$1.90
Line
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak2 losses6 losses2 wins2 wins
Record8-0-512-0-133-0-13-0-5
Value$2.31$-2.00$1.82$-2.18
Record as Fav8-0-511-0-82-0-12-0-4
Value as Fav$2.31$2.07$0.90$-2.10
Record as Dog0-0-01-0-51-0-01-0-1
Value as Dog$0.00$-4.08$0.93$-0.08
Winning Margin
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins5633
40+ wins4722
1-39 losses2628
40+ losses2501
1-24 win2333
25+ win71022
1-24 loss2513
25+ loss2616

Performance Guide: Geelong

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Adelaide
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 win1 win2 losses2 losses
Record7-0-515-0-102-0-59-0-5
Value$0.96$2.36$-3.89$0.79
Record as Fav4-0-29-0-51-0-35-0-3
Value as Fav$-0.23$-1.68$-2.94$-1.63
Record as Dog3-0-36-0-51-0-24-0-2
Value as Dog$1.19$4.04$-0.95$2.42
Line
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 win1 win2 losses2 losses
Record6-0-612-0-131-0-35-0-3
Value$-0.22$-1.59$-2.12$1.84
Record as Fav3-0-36-0-80-0-11-0-1
Value as Fav$-0.11$-2.32$-1.00$0.04
Record as Dog3-0-36-0-51-0-24-0-2
Value as Dog$-0.12$0.73$-1.12$1.80
Winning Margin
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins5928
40+ wins2601
1-39 losses4733
40+ losses1322
1-24 win4613
25+ win3916
1-24 loss3633
25+ loss2422

Further Analysis

Further Analysis: Adelaide

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record7-1-65-0-5
H2H Betting Value$-4.14$0.24
Line Record7-0-74-0-6
Line Betting Value$-0.63$-2.32

Further Analysis: Geelong

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record7-0-88-0-2
H2H Betting Value$-2.70$5.06
Line Record5-0-107-0-3
Line Betting Value$-5.22$3.63

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to July, 2017. The line records date back to July, 2017.
3. The H2H records between Adelaide and Geelong date back to July, 2018. The line records date back to July, 2018.3. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 1 above.

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