You are here: Home > AFL > Round 1 > Melbourne vs. Geelong

Melbourne

vs.

Geelong

AFL

AFL Round 1

Sunday, March 25th, 2018
3:20 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne, VIC)

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the AFL Round 1 clash between Melbourne and Geelong. You can view other fixtures for this round in the AFL match centre.

 

Round Preview

A preview with betting tips for AFL Round 1 has been published on our sister site, AusSportsBetting.com.

Form Guide

The interactive AFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter the form guide by strength of opponent.

Betting Value Index

The AFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. The data can be filtered by date.

Home Advantage

The AFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's winning records at home versus away. League averages and medians are also provided. The data can be filtered by date.

Line Betting Table

The AFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

Predictability Index

The AFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

Stadium Analysis

The AFL stadium analysis provides win records, head-to-head betting value, line records, over/under records, average total scores and win percentages for each team at each stadium.

Elo Ratings

The AFL Elo ratings tool enables you to calculate the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

 

Bookmaker Odds

View a full comparison of bookmaker odds for AFL Round 1

 
MarketSelectionOpenMinMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
Melbourne
Geelong
2.20
1.68
1.70
1.62
2.30
2.22
1.70
2.22
Line Melbourne
Geelong
(+6.5)  1.90
(-6.5)  1.90
(-5.5)  1.93
(-8.5)  1.90
(+8.5)  1.90
(+5.5)  1.93
(-5.5)  1.93
(+5.5)  1.93
Total
Score
Over
Under
(183.5)  1.90
(183.5)  1.90
(178.5)  1.90
(178.5)  1.90
(183.5)  1.90
(183.5)  1.90
(178.5)  1.90
(178.5)  1.90
 
MarketSelectionOpenMinMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
Melbourne
Geelong
2.35
1.60
1.60
1.15
5.60
2.35
2.08
1.75
Line Melbourne
Geelong
(+8.5)  1.90
(-8.5)  1.90
(-7.5)  1.92
(-25.5)  1.92
(+25.5)  1.92
(+7.5)  1.92
(+3.5)  1.88
(-3.5)  1.88
Total
Score
Over
Under
(177.5)  1.90
(177.5)  1.90
(177.5)  1.90
(177.5)  1.90
(228.5)  1.90
(228.5)  1.90
(207.5)  1.82
(207.5)  1.95
 

Bookmaker Promotions

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Member Tipping

All Tippers My Favourite Tippers Melbourne
Supporters
Geelong
Supporters
Market Selection Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units
H2H Melbourne
Geelong
24
23
51.1%
48.9%
240
230
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
Line Melbourne (+8.5)
Geelong (-8.5)
13
6
68.4%
31.6%
130
60
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
Total
Score
Over 183.5
Under 183.5
9
6
60.0%
40.0%
90
60
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0

The % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped.
Submit / edit your tips for this fixture

Form Guides

Form Guide: Melbourne

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2017-08-26Collingwood
Melbourne
Loss14.15 (99)
12.11 (83)
2017-08-20Melbourne
Brisbane
Win16.8 (104)
14.7 (91)
2017-08-13Melbourne
St Kilda
Win14.12 (96)
10.12 (72)
2017-08-05GWS
Melbourne
Loss14.13 (97)
10.2 (62)
2017-07-29North Melbourne
Melbourne
Loss11.10 (76)
10.12 (72)
2017-07-22Melbourne
Port Adelaide
Win13.10 (88)
9.11 (65)
2017-07-15Melbourne
Adelaide
Loss10.10 (70)
17.14 (116)
2017-07-09Carlton
Melbourne
Win12.10 (82)
14.6 (90)
2017-06-30Melbourne
Sydney
Loss7.8 (50)
11.19 (85)
2017-06-24West Coast
Melbourne
Win14.12 (96)
15.9 (99)
2017-06-18Western Bulldogs
Melbourne
Win8.8 (56)
17.11 (113)
2017-06-12Melbourne
Collingwood
Win15.14 (104)
15.10 (100)

Form Guide: Geelong

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2017-09-22Adelaide
Geelong
Loss21.10 (136)
10.15 (75)
2017-09-15Geelong
Sydney
Win15.8 (98)
5.9 (39)
2017-09-08Geelong
Richmond
Loss5.10 (40)
13.13 (91)
2017-08-26Geelong
GWS
Win15.13 (103)
8.11 (59)
2017-08-19Collingwood
Geelong
Win9.5 (59)
10.10 (70)
2017-08-12Geelong
Richmond
Win11.14 (80)
9.12 (66)
2017-08-04Geelong
Sydney
Loss8.13 (61)
16.11 (107)
2017-07-29Carlton
Geelong
Win8.10 (58)
18.15 (123)
2017-07-21Adelaide
Geelong
Loss13.13 (91)
10.10 (70)
2017-07-15Geelong
Hawthorn
Win13.10 (88)
12.13 (85)
2017-07-08Brisbane
Geelong
Win11.12 (78)
25.13 (163)
2017-07-01GWS
Geelong
Draw10.8 (68)
10.8 (68)

H2H Guide: Melbourne vs. Geelong

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2017-04-08Geelong
Melbourne
20.6 (126)
13.19 (97)
2016-08-27Geelong
Melbourne
24.11 (155)
6.8 (44)
2015-06-21Geelong
Melbourne
13.11 (89)
18.5 (113)
2014-07-12Melbourne
Geelong
5.6 (36)
14.18 (102)
2013-07-13Geelong
Melbourne
13.20 (98)
4.6 (30)
2012-05-05Geelong
Melbourne
17.17 (119)
11.10 (76)
2011-07-30Geelong
Melbourne
37.11 (233)
7.5 (47)
2010-05-29Geelong
Melbourne
18.13 (121)
10.7 (67)
2009-07-18Geelong
Melbourne
17.15 (117)
11.5 (71)

Note: only league games are included. The above does not include preseason and cup fixtures.

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
MelbourneH2H$-1.04$0.55$4.07
Line$-2.09$-4.11$-4.32
GeelongH2H$3.37$1.32$2.23
Line$-0.15$-0.38$-2.62

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game. Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from the dates provided in the Notes section below the Performance Guide.

 

Performance Guides

Performance Guide: Melbourne

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Geelong
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak3 wins1 loss1 loss2 losses
Record6-0-511-0-100-0-11-0-8
Value$-1.78$2.31$-1.00$-2.59
Record as Fav5-0-37-0-50-0-00-0-0
Value as Fav$-1.05$-1.74$0.00$0.00
Record as Dog1-0-24-0-50-0-11-0-8
Value as Dog$-0.73$4.05$-1.00$-2.59
Line
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak1 loss2 losses1 loss2 losses
Record3-0-87-0-140-0-11-0-4
Value$-5.19$-7.32$-1.00$-3.12
Record as Fav2-0-63-0-90-0-00-0-0
Value as Fav$-4.16$-6.21$0.00$0.00
Record as Dog1-0-24-0-50-0-11-0-4
Value as Dog$-1.03$-1.11$-1.00$-3.12
Winning Margin
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins6901
40+ wins0200
1-39 losses4901
40+ losses1117
1-24 win5701
25+ win1400
1-24 loss3600
25+ loss2418

Performance Guide: Geelong

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Melbourne
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 loss1 loss1 win2 wins
Record6-1-516-1-81-0-08-0-1
Value$-1.47$4.30$0.14$-0.06
Record as Fav6-0-311-0-51-0-08-0-1
Value as Fav$-0.22$-0.43$0.14$-0.06
Record as Dog0-1-25-1-30-0-00-0-0
Value as Dog$-1.25$4.73$0.00$0.00
Line
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak2 losses1 loss1 win2 wins
Record6-0-612-0-131-0-04-0-1
Value$-0.46$-1.90$0.93$2.80
Record as Fav5-0-46-0-101-0-04-0-1
Value as Fav$0.63$-4.41$0.93$2.80
Record as Dog1-0-26-0-30-0-00-0-0
Value as Dog$-1.09$2.51$0.00$0.00
Winning Margin
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins21001
40+ wins4617
1-39 losses4501
40+ losses1300
1-24 win1800
25+ win5818
1-24 loss3301
25+ loss2500

Further Analysis

Further Analysis: Melbourne

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record5-0-76-0-3
H2H Betting Value$-3.56$5.87
Line Record2-0-105-0-4
Line Betting Value$-8.02$0.70

Further Analysis: Geelong

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record9-1-66-0-2
H2H Betting Value$0.49$3.56
Line Record6-0-105-0-3
Line Betting Value$-4.46$1.64

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to March, 2017. The line records date back to March, 2017.
3. The H2H records between Melbourne and Geelong date back to September, 2017. The line records date back to September, 2017.3. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 1 above.

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