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Essendon

vs.

Adelaide

AFL

AFL Round 1

Friday, March 23rd, 2018
7:50 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
Venue: Etihad Stadium (Melbourne, VIC)

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the AFL Round 1 clash between Essendon and Adelaide. You can view other fixtures for this round in the AFL match centre.

 

Round Preview

A preview with betting tips for AFL Round 1 has been published on our sister site, AusSportsBetting.com.

Form Guide

The interactive AFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter the form guide by strength of opponent.

Betting Value Index

The AFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. The data can be filtered by date.

Home Advantage

The AFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's winning records at home versus away. League averages and medians are also provided. The data can be filtered by date.

Line Betting Table

The AFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

Predictability Index

The AFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

Stadium Analysis

The AFL stadium analysis provides win records, head-to-head betting value, line records, over/under records, average total scores and win percentages for each team at each stadium.

Elo Ratings

The AFL Elo ratings tool enables you to calculate the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

 

Bookmaker Odds

View a full comparison of bookmaker odds for AFL Round 1

 
MarketSelection OpenMaxCurrent OpenMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
Essendon
Adelaide
2.03
1.83
2.03
2.06
1.85
2.00
2.15
1.72
2.15
2.05
1.80
2.05
Line Essendon
Adelaide
(+4.5)  1.93
(-4.5)  1.93
(+4.5)  1.93
(+4.5)  1.83
(-2.5)  1.96
(+2.5)  1.89
(+5.5)  1.90
(-5.5)  1.90
(+5.5)  1.90
(+2.5)  1.93
(-2.5)  1.93
(+2.5)  1.93
Total
Score
Over
Under
(200.5)  1.93
(200.5)  1.93
(203.5)  2.11
(203.5)  2.05
(203.5)  2.11
(203.5)  1.77
(197.5)  1.90
(197.5)  1.90
(201.5)  1.90
(201.5)  1.90
(200.5)  1.90
(200.5)  1.90
 
MarketSelection OpenMaxCurrent OpenMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
Essendon
Adelaide
2.11
1.74
2.11
2.05
1.80
2.05
2.05
1.78
5.60
2.45
2.60
1.50
Line Essendon
Adelaide
(+5.5)  1.91
(-5.5)  1.91
(+5.5)  1.91
(+2.5)  1.91
(-2.5)  1.91
(+2.5)  1.91
(+3.5)  1.90
(-3.5)  1.90
(+20.5)  1.92
(+6.5)  1.92
(+2.5)  2.00
(-2.5)  1.80
Total
Score
Over
Under
(195.5)  1.88
(195.5)  1.88
(201.5)  1.90
(201.5)  1.90
(200.5)  1.90
(200.5)  1.90
(197.5)  1.90
(197.5)  1.90
(202.5)  1.90
(202.5)  1.90
(180.5)  1.88
(180.5)  1.88
 

Bookmaker Promotions

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Member Tipping

All Tippers My Favourite Tippers Essendon
Supporters
Adelaide
Supporters
Market Selection Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units
H2H Essendon
Adelaide
34
14
70.8%
29.2%
340
140
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
Line Essendon (+4.5)
Adelaide (-4.5)
12
7
63.2%
36.8%
120
70
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
Total
Score
Over 197.5
Under 197.5
4
9
30.8%
69.2%
40
90
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0

The % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped.
Submit / edit your tips for this fixture

Form Guides

Form Guide: Essendon

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2017-09-09Sydney
Essendon
Loss19.7 (121)
8.8 (56)
2017-08-27Essendon
Fremantle
Win16.11 (107)
14.8 (92)
2017-08-19Gold Coast
Essendon
Win9.3 (57)
12.18 (90)
2017-08-12Essendon
Adelaide
Loss12.8 (80)
18.15 (123)
2017-08-05Essendon
Carlton
Win11.18 (84)
11.10 (76)
2017-07-30Western Bulldogs
Essendon
Loss19.13 (127)
13.19 (97)
2017-07-22Essendon
North Melbourne
Win20.12 (132)
16.9 (105)
2017-07-14St Kilda
Essendon
Win7.15 (57)
17.16 (118)
2017-07-08Collingwood
Essendon
Win12.8 (80)
18.9 (117)
2017-07-02Essendon
Brisbane
Loss11.16 (82)
13.12 (90)
2017-06-23Sydney
Essendon
Loss11.20 (86)
12.13 (85)
2017-06-10Essendon
Port Adelaide
Win19.17 (131)
8.13 (61)

Form Guide: Adelaide

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2017-09-30Adelaide
Richmond
Loss8.12 (60)
16.12 (108)
2017-09-22Adelaide
Geelong
Win21.10 (136)
10.15 (75)
2017-09-07Adelaide
GWS
Win12.12 (84)
6.12 (48)
2017-08-27West Coast
Adelaide
Loss15.10 (100)
10.11 (71)
2017-08-18Adelaide
Sydney
Loss11.14 (80)
13.5 (83)
2017-08-12Essendon
Adelaide
Win12.8 (80)
18.15 (123)
2017-08-06Adelaide
Port Adelaide
Win18.22 (130)
7.4 (46)
2017-07-30Collingwood
Adelaide
Draw15.13 (103)
16.7 (103)
2017-07-21Adelaide
Geelong
Win13.13 (91)
10.10 (70)
2017-07-15Melbourne
Adelaide
Win10.10 (70)
17.14 (116)
2017-07-07Adelaide
Western Bulldogs
Win16.8 (104)
5.15 (45)
2017-07-01Carlton
Adelaide
Win12.5 (77)
13.11 (89)

H2H Guide: Essendon vs. Adelaide

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2017-08-12Essendon
Adelaide
12.8 (80)
18.15 (123)
2017-04-15Adelaide
Essendon
24.9 (153)
13.10 (88)
2016-07-31Adelaide
Essendon
22.11 (143)
9.7 (61)
2015-08-15Essendon
Adelaide
8.11 (59)
27.9 (171)
2014-06-21Essendon
Adelaide
15.11 (101)
14.8 (92)
2013-03-22Adelaide
Essendon
11.16 (82)
18.9 (117)
2012-08-05Adelaide
Essendon
16.8 (104)
15.10 (100)
2011-07-15Adelaide
Essendon
10.13 (73)
12.12 (84)
2010-07-03Adelaide
Essendon
19.10 (124)
5.10 (40)
2009-09-04Adelaide
Essendon
26.10 (166)
10.10 (70)

Note: only league games are included. The above does not include preseason and cup fixtures.

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
EssendonH2H$-2.25$0.55$0.44
Line$-4.08$-2.39$-2.45
AdelaideH2H$-1.69$-0.64$-3.25
Line$-0.21$1.57$1.44

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game. Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from the dates provided in the Notes section below the Performance Guide.

 

Performance Guides

Performance Guide: Essendon

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Adelaide
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak1 win1 loss2 losses4 losses
Record8-0-312-0-111-0-23-0-7
Value$7.85$2.70$-0.52$-3.12
Record as Fav3-0-15-0-30-0-01-0-0
Value as Fav$-0.45$-1.62$0.00$0.72
Record as Dog5-0-27-0-81-0-22-0-7
Value as Dog$8.30$4.32$-0.52$-3.84
Line
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak5 losses2 losses2 losses4 losses
Record5-0-611-0-121-0-22-0-4
Value$-1.33$-1.65$-1.00$-2.13
Record as Fav0-0-42-0-60-0-00-0-0
Value as Fav$-4.00$-4.12$0.00$0.00
Record as Dog5-0-29-0-61-0-22-0-4
Value as Dog$2.68$2.47$-1.00$-2.13
Winning Margin
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins6913
40+ wins2300
1-39 losses2801
40+ losses1326
1-24 win4412
25+ win4801
1-24 loss1501
25+ loss2626

Performance Guide: Adelaide

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Essendon
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 loss1 loss2 wins4 wins
Record7-1-317-1-72-0-17-0-3
Value$-0.45$0.01$-0.36$-1.35
Record as Fav7-1-216-1-62-0-17-0-2
Value as Fav$0.55$-0.34$-0.36$-0.35
Record as Dog0-0-11-0-10-0-00-0-1
Value as Dog$-1.00$0.35$0.00$-1.00
Line
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 loss1 loss2 wins4 wins
Record6-0-516-0-92-0-14-0-2
Value$0.63$6.12$0.90$1.79
Record as Fav6-0-415-0-82-0-14-0-2
Value as Fav$1.63$6.14$0.90$1.79
Record as Dog0-0-11-0-10-0-00-0-0
Value as Dog$-1.00$-0.02$0.00$0.00
Winning Margin
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins3501
40+ wins41226
1-39 losses2413
40+ losses1300
1-24 win3401
25+ win41326
1-24 loss1312
25+ loss2401

Further Analysis

Further Analysis: Essendon

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record6-0-76-0-4
H2H Betting Value$-1.55$4.25
Line Record5-0-86-0-4
Line Betting Value$-3.27$1.61

Further Analysis: Adelaide

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record11-1-55-0-2
H2H Betting Value$-0.95$0.40
Line Record11-0-64-0-3
Line Betting Value$4.44$0.74

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to March, 2017. The line records date back to March, 2017.
3. The H2H records between Essendon and Adelaide date back to September, 2017. The line records date back to September, 2017.3. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 1 above.

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